Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:18:00 P.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,038.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 341.09
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
925.2 QUAI
341.09 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 925 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
870 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
870 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
343.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
343.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
134.63 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 341.09 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
486.74 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:17:36 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
925.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:18:48 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:16:24 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
112.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
-3 min
6 tx
472.74 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:15:13 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
20,136.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:21:12 P.M.
-4 min
11 tx
1,502.8 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:14:01 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
8,810.22 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:22:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
870 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:18:15 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
341.09 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:18:59 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006e0001678fb5798e4d6b24b6517203cf06c9b253f99d7df81871ee095e073d
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:18:59 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000100034c5271f253578fdc3f276a188497a5bcc7047ec375601acd4790fd73
112.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:18:59 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004000001e2e54859d5dcef2dbfe848625b604ed7a1cf1655be156411d9d3be6
33.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:18:15 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0074007439be4c9ac9e54e58ace50550c5e84748b741e56a88e74c81273f73ff
21.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:18:15 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f0071a14464dd70fcc035a6debe40fe805f500dec80f5139e4a73dbf88e2f
870 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:18:15 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00420042639eef88be209db60c3425ad0be699bbb7274e80d6ed0cceea5df82f