Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:45:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 137.58
Unexplained QUAI: 2,228.55
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 1,012.54
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
53x previous minute
17x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
2,366.13 QUAI
1,012.54 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2366 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
111.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
111.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
25.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
2,366.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:45:11 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
45.07 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:44:00 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
137.58 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:46:23 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
91.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:42:48 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
4,001,017.76 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:41:36 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
2,757.01 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:47:36 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
9,163.62 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:48:47 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
968.26 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:40:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
111.99 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:45:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
25.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:45:17 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00580059d8eed0dc014707df332f8c389da35af0e12fc5af540acc3eec835e37
111.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:45:17 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007f002175f73a1b0a421a3856a0946efd82e9a65d9f7e86590ee109bfa5cb85