Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:41:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:42:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 843.95
Unexplained QUAI: 4,000,173.81
Explained QI: 340.14
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
4132x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
2
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
4,001,017.76 QUAI
340.14 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
critical priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4001018 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 70
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
High urgency signal paired with your investigation. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
Net sender
Unknown type
843.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
843.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
340.14 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
340.14 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 843.95 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
968.26 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:40:24 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
4,001,017.76 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:41:36 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
172.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:39:13 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
91.49 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:42:48 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
148.82 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:38:01 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
45.07 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:44:00 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
8,560.15 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:36:50 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
2,366.13 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:45:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
843.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:41:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
340.14 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:41:39 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00780076c1792fe4d07f8d217880bd7887efea3095ae203f297d3f3c4c25ed04
843.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:41:21 A.M.
From: 0x0044410412DDF94f661985EaB59Ab19DdFCaDe35
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e004e5f99f728fd1142cb3b9b2397cb00a488455c5202551dc44424a7ad59