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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 11:06:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

24% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 3,698.65

Unexplained QUAI: 11,641.42

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume

Relative context

1.3x above local average

0.3x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

94.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

15,340.07 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x00215254D1dDdd5D90671bA981688197A2735c1f • 0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 15340 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x00215254D1dDdd5D90671bA981688197A2735c1f • 0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 visible transfer rows

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (76% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (24%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner wallet (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate miner wallet context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner wallet context.

Top actors in this event

StratumX miner

Net sender

Miner wallet

3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0046816338CD24b41F0249BB07A7F65860E76Cce

Net receiver

Unknown type

3,000 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

576.34 QUAI across 50 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26

Net sender

Unknown type

89.4 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A

Net receiver

Unknown type

89.4 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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53 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 56. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.