Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 11:05:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,641.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
168.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 168 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 11:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
11,641.42 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA
Net sender
Unknown type
6,998.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C993ECDc5963E062EE944ce523f3D5f338798
Net sender
Unknown type
2,489.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net sender
Unknown type
2,152.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 11,641.42 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate7 tx
45,253.7 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:04:26 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
168.29 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:05:39 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
24,251.43 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:03:14 A.M.
+2 min
56 tx
15,340.07 QUAI • 75 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:06:51 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
9,797.89 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:02:02 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:08:03 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
86.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:00:51 A.M.
+4 min
52 tx
1,734.11 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/21/2026, 11:09:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,998.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:05:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,489.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:05:37 A.M.
From: 0x006C993ECDc5963E062EE944ce523f3D5f338798
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000f000ac324e11e0a2969934047eebeba2a85025b9d7759b37f3dccb6dbbc6a
6,998.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:05:37 A.M.
From: 0x007dF78c312d7943E509744d4F703743F60B5ECA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00260012fe0191e96c61a7691a85e8c6af6b6fe880c1268018ea8953299b4f44
2,152.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 11:05:37 A.M.
From: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002100287fc247ad242fdb1ed78a946247e0f5afc5bf7cde9e43dea9b6c95340