Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 10:54:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
99% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24,042.41
Unexplained QUAI: 291.61
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
9
69.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
24,334.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 24334 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,675.21 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
8,890.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
4,137.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net sender
Unknown type
3,022.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,272.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,675.21 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:53:37 A.M.
+1 min
13 tx
24,334.02 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:54:49 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate18 tx
62,524.46 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:52:24 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
175.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:56:01 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:51:13 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
193.65 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:57:12 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
23,103.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:50:01 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
30,496.03 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:58:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,890.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
97.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:14 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
Tx: 0x0042007a872eb12ae3173483adfdd439b97538991b0a85a09a84f1ee21775784
83.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0062004acf14488b4504f1ca5cf44fd26a1432e878052355cf036e8f5a11ae04
2,272.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041007212b8548079af5cd7b6520759fc1449b73af2ec23b58299eb942ac793
2,223.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00680053644dc3aecda4d508a9be7775618326da2670c33cce9c9129cda43aac
8,890.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0018c759609f4c82ab1b0bfe20afadc3285679363027c17015bfbadc7a03
2,128.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b006092dd5d2570b5b274ec4006977d5af04281e39923ee46cc0a4979539d
3,022.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f001698789e973a5390ab62b91b1754e37c9f56f992c0c11475d550ebd526
4,137.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032002d97c6ae72063029b8fc8131c2aaa1a60266422c67ec66728db58217e4
1,185.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cC0025EF1BF7E53a8a543a88AE5506d10a172
Tx: 0x00000048837d1ceb3b8dee6703cfaa1a258734907071c142b066ca6410ba3f64
