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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 10:54:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
99% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24,042.41
Unexplained QUAI: 291.61
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
9
69.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
24,334.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 24334 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
22,675.21 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
8,890.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
4,137.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net sender
Unknown type
3,022.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,272.68 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 22,675.21 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 13. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

8,890.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
97.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:14 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
Tx: 0x0042007a872eb12ae3173483adfdd439b97538991b0a85a09a84f1ee21775784
83.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0062004acf14488b4504f1ca5cf44fd26a1432e878052355cf036e8f5a11ae04
2,272.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041007212b8548079af5cd7b6520759fc1449b73af2ec23b58299eb942ac793
Open txWallet profile
2,223.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00680053644dc3aecda4d508a9be7775618326da2670c33cce9c9129cda43aac
Open txWallet profile
8,890.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e0018c759609f4c82ab1b0bfe20afadc3285679363027c17015bfbadc7a03
Open txWallet profile
2,128.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b006092dd5d2570b5b274ec4006977d5af04281e39923ee46cc0a4979539d
Open txWallet profile
3,022.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f001698789e973a5390ab62b91b1754e37c9f56f992c0c11475d550ebd526
Open txWallet profile
4,137.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032002d97c6ae72063029b8fc8131c2aaa1a60266422c67ec66728db58217e4
Open txWallet profile
1,185.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:54:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x005cC0025EF1BF7E53a8a543a88AE5506d10a172
Tx: 0x00000048837d1ceb3b8dee6703cfaa1a258734907071c142b066ca6410ba3f64