Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 10:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 10:52:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
53% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,960.35
Unexplained QUAI: 29,564.11
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
3.9x above local average
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
9
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
62,524.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 62524 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (47% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (53%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
32,960.35 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,891.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,321 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,138.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002342896BD4aD29Ac90F6F24a0E7D823C5B8EB8
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,729.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate18 tx
62,524.46 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:52:24 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:51:13 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
23,103.95 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:50:01 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:53:37 A.M.
-3 min
17 tx
16,988.34 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:48:49 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
24,334.02 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:54:49 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:47:38 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
175.17 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:56:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,891.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
2,273.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Tx: 0x00600005035f5692514fe913c96afae8a2d42a3eacbf86bcc9a76e06e750952b
2,129.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
Tx: 0x0003003ebbb95614efed33526828f8a0cb39f631427ede8f20b06eb874fbb878
2,044.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x003F68A05978B665b108331e8190ACeD761c33E8
Tx: 0x002f003c03b5c40513f575263cc63249ef46a564c19c602a13de6dc5cd417598
8,891.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Tx: 0x0070005bbb68b06c33e03d697c1ba349502371f519c8648471af548d87822335
4,321 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006885852A69BD92Da077880f6c508d5d2765E85
Tx: 0x0079005092049d92e2d3ff35c9c1f0bb8072f7f1cb5b5e0b41b0d42b2e743e6f
2,224.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Tx: 0x0037001b7221a89ce94d73cefed7b52cc90f07200eaf9cc8be7d12a255c6b2d4
4,138.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Tx: 0x002d0010bb1936c6dc5281dcb25fc0742ea792f00d843ab87784164e77fda3bd
3,729.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x002342896BD4aD29Ac90F6F24a0E7D823C5B8EB8
Tx: 0x000700586f4539409757a21ed80b0710e2ae5759505ff69c018935f12a1f4b7b
3,208.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:52:09 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x005312E3212a3a4Bf17BC7cFD7e1eC5C1EC33833
Tx: 0x00250000108a85a73395a9a2c40c37b733cd6e2dbe65f8892b22d891444cb33c
