Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 10:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 10:39:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 160.27
Unexplained QUAI: 19,838.87
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
164x previous minute
125x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
19,999.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
37.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
23.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
19,999.14 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:39:15 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
122.08 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:38:03 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
160.27 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:40:27 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
3,066.41 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:36:52 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
2,214.01 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:35:40 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate38 tx
40,051.35 QUAI • 51 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:41:39 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
221.76 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:42:52 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
540.22 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:34:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
100 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:39:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
23.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:39:57 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00650006cd19a9c084c61ba2bae03e66e4bd02329e82132c7a7acf822c5b71a8
37.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:39:50 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005a0055891d79ad0d949cf6b77e52da7a642608c495635d89765f42dbfd150f
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:39:50 A.M.
From: 0x0078b4DE8e61D1f71075EefC3dc4A342694a0Df7
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005a003a86e60c33930afd57514c143112aaf7e720296346a7f1dba871e57ef0