Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 10:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 10:12:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 10:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 288.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
288.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 288 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 10:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
213.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
109.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net sender
Unknown type
103.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
64.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
64.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 213.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
13.74 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:11:43 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
193.56 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:10:31 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
288.07 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:12:55 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
12,645.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:14:06 A.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,273.58 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:09:19 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
133.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:15:18 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
12,683.94 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:08:07 A.M.
-5 min
51 tx
562.41 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/21/2026, 10:06:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
109.39 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:12:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
64.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:12:50 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001f0019c6ca86c5750ec7c1ea150512b73d611c119e59f5bab1d8e4b9b17d77
103.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:12:50 A.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d000230c20b20b4558da1db3fd8cb4ac01a1a59fd77c76e01144f974f6d41
109.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:12:50 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007a007d3187ec63076fe50aa3cc1f78be99e5dc5fd362ee74c497c9c780868e
10.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 10:12:50 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0003001340ca447a3a9b00103764011316ff5c71884187a16cd9484c32be8556