Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:32:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
56% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 61.81
Unexplained QUAI: 49.46
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
111.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 111 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (44% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (56%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
61.81 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
Net sender
Unknown type
33.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
Net sender
Unknown type
26.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
1.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
111.27 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:32:15 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
208.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:31:03 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
79.24 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:33:26 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
62.86 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:29:52 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
182.01 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:28:40 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
163.83 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:34:38 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:35:49 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,014.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:27:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
33.79 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:32:20 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:32:20 A.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00190064c8dbe55934d6241cb39bdd5e5d52a19a8e2f2911041f1f86ff75649b
26.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:32:20 A.M.
From: 0x00042ebf5e2dabBb79A67343711A89B76c7D1c49
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00630026965ef5427ea8938127ec8b3dcdd06a7c50a7781d46dd1d76da9b8f0c
33.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:32:20 A.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a006980c4d51dbf2025b23847c786691730e86437b7647ac986b8a67a6cb1