Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:28:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:29:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
35% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 62.86
Unexplained QUAI: 119.15
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 71% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
182.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 182 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (65% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (35%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
62.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
44.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
18.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,014.35 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:27:29 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
182.01 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:28:40 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:26:17 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
62.86 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:29:52 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,999.13 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:25:05 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
208.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:31:03 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
228.97 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:23:54 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
111.27 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:32:15 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
44.58 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:28:57 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
18.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:28:57 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f000ec88b431f9bed753fdb42ed672968a2eef10f3634dbbf25726495df1a
44.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:28:57 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0049004dd67e33b4f4410b2de1f6ff59161c3c23abc285037989cffc41e52006