Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 9:15:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 9:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 99.37
Unexplained QUAI: 1,224.87
Explained QI: 359.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
25x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,324.25 QUAI
359.11 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1324 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
359.12 QI across 1 visible row
0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Net receiver
Unknown type
359.12 QI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
99.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
75.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
Net sender
Unknown type
24.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
52.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:14:19 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
1,324.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:15:31 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate5 tx
108,205.55 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:13:08 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
99.37 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:16:44 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
32.58 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:11:56 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
140.05 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:17:55 A.M.
-4 min
27 tx
1,148.01 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:10:44 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
320.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 9:19:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
359.11 QI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
75.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:15:48 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002a000c18fcc0f13af202a8365b176d0d1946179e80fc21d4fad7dc38045b24
24.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:15:29 A.M.
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000400461494a83bc9f045d6081a561539a8ad9e3d32d5804473a76f86fde216
359.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 9:15:00 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x0008855cF3d0A8cEA4AC97B6ecBFC515C2Cb88BD
Tx: 0x0006005610e15deb5b82bb36206c9647ecf915e4ab2fddd3d6e886a65bac611b