Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:47:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:47:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:48:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
46.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 46 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
Net sender
Unknown type
24.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
22.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
22.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
1,757.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:46:48 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
97.85 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:45:36 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
46.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:48:00 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
343.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:49:11 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
58.52 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:44:25 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
102.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:50:23 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
81.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:43:12 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:42:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
248.65 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:48:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
22.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:47:34 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000c00400a04a465d681c505b2c0d4e41f48640bcd5e01e01c7e9c2630747ad6
24.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:47:34 A.M.
From: 0x0048803eF90f765f97eFaFdD55Ca2C96eEbAa97A
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00500031c53df6b1f07f15157a046c30016d984a85f4f429b01862e2bf34394e