Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:31:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33.66
Unexplained QUAI: 406.97
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
4.0x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
2
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
440.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 441 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.66 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
Net sender
Unknown type
28.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
440.63 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:31:10 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
109.03 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:29:58 A.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:32:21 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:28:46 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
879.71 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:27:35 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
87.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:33:33 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
86.96 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:34:45 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:26:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
28.45 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:31:03 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
28.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:31:03 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a003295ac8a10dc302cdf141c40baca7f4d228d8e901ffd0b687482353b9e
5.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:31:03 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0000004c9d2fdf6a8899191e7ff4e2a6148006e9d9359b1ff93d958ecd9eceff