Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:20:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,265.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005844b50c1A4a03C4145a711BF26C0C3bE2afCE • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005844b50c1A4a03C4145a711BF26C0C3bE2afCE • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005844b50c1A4a03C4145a711BF26C0C3bE2afCE
Net sender
Unknown type
4,054.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,054.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007CD734fCd55dC723C76a7cCf5c8A66Ae157D83
Net sender
Unknown type
95.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
95.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
65.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 50.1 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:20:25 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
47.74 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:19:14 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
243.24 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:18:02 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
4,347.17 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:21:37 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:16:50 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
6,742.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:22:49 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
302.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:15:39 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
41.26 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:24:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,054.23 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005844b50c1A4a03C4145a711BF26C0C3bE2afCE
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
65.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:58 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007c002433b7dd148800f6f0276748a44fe37bde332351394d2003fda2ce976e
0.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:58 A.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001500483bb57567d04620a496faccd8e7fa1dbd8bdbb61abf730db8e6fe081c
95.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:58 A.M.
From: 0x007CD734fCd55dC723C76a7cCf5c8A66Ae157D83
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x003d003a5ea553ae85147a588e0191fef4a1a117f04cf612000ad7ea5c24a83f
4,054.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:37 A.M.
From: 0x005844b50c1A4a03C4145a711BF26C0C3bE2afCE
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0015003f7911c2721ffd0d2e167e76f6f286bab579433428398b73ce56474418
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:20:27 A.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0055004cfb71648306b7964df71de2856213bc122d22c2ff26ad0f899c261537