Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 8:10:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 8:11:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 595.7
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
18
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
595.7 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 596 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 8:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 18 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
574.51 QUAI across 16 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
147.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
108.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
107.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00582DEB29A1B7E478ddFA5AdD91baC405b0AA2A
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
58 tx
8,700.69 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:09:39 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
595.7 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:10:51 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
333.47 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:08:27 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:12:04 A.M.
-3 min
51 tx
661.61 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:07:15 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
149.76 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:13:16 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate1 tx
39,992.19 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:06:02 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
716.93 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 8:14:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
147.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
18 transactions
5.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0055003ca7db610e59a8372b1d166ac00be8ebf5ae0330abc66617a2c9e11773
15.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:48 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00190076e67c8bb22697aa5a973c1cf91a4b0bee20407628c6dde5ecc0f89cd6
4.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x0072007e1d7339f355b5cd68058fad3607c94872e0e397d4c6aacd81772d3629
6.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0029D74BFeacE23C9a500D8D952483B66d36e78e
Tx: 0x00470039f2a379699a38d0464c937985671e6bf05e9f564cdf1007603c033561
10.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x004e00480ddc91e55ba1d0f8bea3d487495f3dc017b38405e31b6a086fbd75e0
37.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x0023007976c8831751350423ff8cfe79306377bff650e9607ffaeabb5f43d168
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00610e8E9Bbf5933193917ae6c6cA02104c8a670
Tx: 0x002f0046af44ad287039581125db1a346e607656153a1cdc2949eea30add89f6
27.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007f445007977f177663c0Dd44a1E6a812329d64
Tx: 0x0026001dcb6c2015d98bb99c812d9c4d258c7e00e8a9d91149db26499c6d86aa
24.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x00000010905388d810de0f21c4f14e39a56aea4dc5e2e5dadcef53f2007358c8
107.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0049003abadd60e8f9f876235f85e0bf8eee618ccdb5b9c04d7aebb0fdfde79c
9.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00725c0A2c43C1a2c47a3a6dA4C8899079F5C996
Tx: 0x000800102791029fa818140e956a097875153cacee4c719008ef09c3f1b1d6e9
12.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x006d0028f32bbf5acb482cb9aba4a3090ecf1d63986104a7f3ba296820aa37e1
5.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x00210043634a7d94ee1eadd39e3b87c0dd4245df3c210c834aeed839ccf2a74c
108.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0017002c34126de8268fc1d35bb240a19cbbc5722c206996902d357563af2fd0
50.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00582DEB29A1B7E478ddFA5AdD91baC405b0AA2A
Tx: 0x005a004fcfc3f350932879f8770dd9c1d49988d0c1c5c145a5dfaf04e0a6684d
147.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x004b0049c30d483a5439639c729b203be11a776c8c23356b555b1bea84e6ee31
14.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x00540009a01fb949b96c23c4f3b3db5cd46b12c3578208b9f430b06d10d1686a
3.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 8:10:29 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x0048005cc2d76dd849700e1694a7a38c4bd57ae05cc9bc486ee9d20dcaeeccf0
