Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 7:00:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 7:00:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 7:01:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 154.2
Unexplained QUAI: 266.27
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
420.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 420 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 7:00:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
81.66 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
72.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
72.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
61.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
Net sender
Unknown type
20.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
420.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 7:00:16 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
3,245.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:59:04 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
309.67 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 7:01:28 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
20,055.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:57:52 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
20,076.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:56:41 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
77.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 7:02:39 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
21,954.93 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 7:03:51 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
97.22 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:55:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
72.54 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 7:00:42 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
61.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 7:00:42 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a006918d813e370094ba00d9c1ec73dc3c1286368463903ce19cf7ef2f884
20.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 7:00:42 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005100292547fa7ab7cb09ee7617c58e4b65b5d3dcb2c2fdb13c5a5f48f96924
72.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 7:00:42 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0040C495A9EE51119De0c275D43040eB9cB098D4
Tx: 0x003c001aa551920d768e82f336caf19d825ceb38382bdb4974f3ec90545a5f55