Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:59:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 7:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
13% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 420.47
Unexplained QUAI: 2,824.56
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 72% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.2x previous minute
7.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
3,245.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3245 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
375.89 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
73.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
44.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
44.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
3,245.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:59:04 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
20,055.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:57:52 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
420.47 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 7:00:16 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
20,076.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:56:41 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
309.67 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 7:01:28 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
97.22 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:55:28 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
77.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 7:02:39 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
50.39 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:54:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
302.17 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:59:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
73.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:59:40 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0028002d4821b7613cac951a05616f358f79be06a8ac7f4999c9e75bd0bb64ad
44.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:59:38 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0051000002f7ad96035f9cae8e57424d6c823bf91357f25b9d06abc27f2043e9
302.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:59:13 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00183b52D4B393a1dD03cA8C22Eb4C3222268eB7
Tx: 0x0006006f5b8e1fdf6a4ed6e4d57846d28a98cefaebd2bfb6afb5bcee431e0034