Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:48:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
89% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 286.6
Unexplained QUAI: 34.77
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
3.4x previous minute
5.4x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
321.36 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 321 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
156.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
96.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
96.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
70.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
59.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
321.36 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:48:18 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
95.92 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:47:06 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,137.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:45:54 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
60.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:49:30 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
85.93 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:44:42 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:50:41 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
2,164.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:43:31 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
21,323.09 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:51:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
96.27 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:48:07 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:48:44 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0005004ca7778629f9a7ff642ae14ab059510e50963fe58fd140d721d1e6658b
26.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:48:44 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f0007e52885cdf6a8c93281d790548c5b0487adda206865e3bc2be82c2287
96.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:48:07 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x002f001ab1f51d2532c1bffcfb0fe845230630950f958b3cd6ee8b6c05daa6de
70.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:48:07 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001c0040785cc31fa9f1424a14e82270e1877ac20fd4df671b7d7e2567d674f1
59.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:48:07 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004a0058629dd2eb7bf9e28dc29085f3d3867127511512e23fa5a49d2bc5a984