Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:36:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,762.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.0x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
8,578.17 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 8578 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
Net sender
Unknown type
8,312.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,312.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
163 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
109.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
105.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
8,578.17 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:36:22 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
8,510.63 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:35:10 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:33:58 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
14,348.93 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:37:33 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
89.59 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:32:46 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
867.89 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:38:45 A.M.
-4 min
19 tx
9,694.68 QUAI • 37 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:31:35 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
8,508.88 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:39:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,312.57 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:36:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
105.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:36:24 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001a000589c739dfff2d382122785220efc7a3f31cea19ca460aef094a0782fb
109.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:36:24 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0022004c6eb5b4a776efc0ab22b734f3ad9031b4b6fe8ec0a2b6754cbb725d13
105.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:36:07 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x002e00237b4fbb02d72f6e68b6b36c7e944d96a8a057ffd21513a8ea2e9e3219
53.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:36:07 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00480043b78ddafa7e7022f3520e20764b29b71f42bcbe179d84c29e81de3df4
76.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:36:07 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0014004ae25dd7515a7eef2e020c8b71ee3b86078feff6a574f4361303a23a4c
8,312.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:36:07 A.M.
From: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x00070049c481085ada0a58f30659dc4f5e4e9d5ebf1581bfe9e59e851bf6e9bb