Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:20:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:21:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 58.31
Unexplained QUAI: 80.01
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
138.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 138 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
58.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
342.73 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:19:39 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
138.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:20:51 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
328.49 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:18:27 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
100,092.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:22:02 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
50,093.82 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:17:12 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
184.93 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:23:14 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
215.9 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:16:00 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
43.55 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:24:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
58.31 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:20:09 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
58.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:20:09 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0037002ff5c578e028d3e4a5465a1d26f909d25aa62a34e167d5ef65733096e5
