Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 6:12:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 6:13:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,696.47
Unexplained QUAI: 51,084.95
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
5.6x above local average
100x previous minute
292x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
11
64.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
52,781.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 52781 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 6:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,515.45 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941
Net sender
Unknown type
529.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
Net sender
Unknown type
244.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
Net sender
Unknown type
209.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
131.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,515.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate17 tx
52,781.43 QUAI • 36 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:12:25 A.M.
-1 min
11 tx
525.77 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:11:13 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
303.74 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:10:01 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
181.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:13:38 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
21,005.04 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:08:49 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
120.9 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:14:49 A.M.
-4 min
50 tx
572.5 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:07:36 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
215.9 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 6:16:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
529.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
50.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:58 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005d000eb093f5def7659db5edf133a1f67eb17f604d1424b4a1de35808ec3e2
59.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:58 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0003CA8c382Df2689cee94B297dDffC573E30121
Tx: 0x000e0034bb3f86c35069722a7dbe95710f90524e9e803e1417d35166e6046807
71.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:27 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x0050002b4d06edc5a4946f09971453247740faf2a0d4b27b90d081d32c334620
110.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00790016746ab7009fa049fc71f312fd5890c63f7aa774e40a4fd3ac7c4fc233
101.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a006aa092d2d2272ffab819cc84f4e9ddfed441e55332a412e2846f65d337
105.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a000d655449a0d435c2a43493dbf969e870eb5b569d60899e64d698e5cf2b
529.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e001d607e7e395b8473e724ad4828247d48be2b11e342296a346670de18b4
110.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0061e17c71136843fe88808c9ec7c8a9d07b6d1c43ff16b84f06745b54d6
104.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x00140382Bc5DDBa35cA720A835B607eF4720A05B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e000b70ffd39b7424a84f50e63948c3a6c1042996d9dc005dd27b2b7c218a
244.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0009da7f249ff7389d81167b3368df4713ee7a7e0568b9c57f24269bab04
209.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 6:12:13 A.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015002501b5be39edf0c43b270ffdde96a50a306bf2aea9ec7ec0c8e5642c6f