Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 5:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 5:48:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 5:49:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,134.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
30x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20,160.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20161 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 5:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
29,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net receiver
Unknown type
29,996 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
117.05 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 29,996 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
682.99 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:47:18 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
20,160.93 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:48:30 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
74.1 QUAI • 7 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:46:07 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
50,134.14 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:49:41 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:44:55 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
233.21 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:50:52 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,182.66 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:43:44 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:52:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
29,996 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:48:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
27.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:48:44 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002e00462bddb019243fdb1561e908b969aca9f3069cf9ff483d1eb3a1d812d7
89.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:48:38 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007d006cf9db3b4f69a7815fc4a82b1df25660bfd4f1ed9a992276b3cae043a8
22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:48:38 A.M.
From: 0x00713586618dC64c76F49A5D2f4EB837254DADda
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0074004dd2320bb3ed303303d6fe271463d8bdae029f9b4af1666148f1786ae3
19,999.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:48:38 A.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x006400268692a716ee213aedc07ff54a6267f33b527725466471965d2e6658e4
29,996 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:48:38 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Tx: 0x005400493a586576e74e577b70595d5e72b685653f3e05b55884f8415d9b9882