Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 5:14:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 88.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
88.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 88 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
53.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
53.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
35.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
19.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
15.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:13:50 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
426.63 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:12:39 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
88.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:15:01 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
143.2 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:16:13 A.M.
-3 min
29 tx
858.98 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:11:26 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
7,423.86 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:17:25 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
176.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:10:14 A.M.
-5 min
53 tx
1,444.51 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:09:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
53.21 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:14:15 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
15.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f0060b6e38f43cf001ad82965fc76853d8136d762aec71d5c76c78d16541e
53.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0002005bb73e54b0e2f98660826b12ada7ee67bed18fd477d7bfe6784f336df3
19.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:14:15 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004600244eb4a261993da406b20c2b27c63110b9e8564c12700e3ac956e00bd6