Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 5:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 5:11:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 5:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
46% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 398.64
Unexplained QUAI: 460.34
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
4.9x previous minute
2.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
29
Observable rows
6
20.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
40
Asset volume
858.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 859 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 5:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (54% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (46%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
325.12 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
118.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
Net sender
Unknown type
105.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
100.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
45.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 325.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
29 tx
858.98 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:11:26 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
176.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:10:14 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,444.51 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:09:02 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
426.63 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:12:39 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:07:50 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:13:50 A.M.
-4 min
51 tx
598.95 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:06:38 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
88.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:15:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
118.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:11:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
118.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0035fedcddb25a7507422b0efb245551fbf865d88ac88762013a4864a41b
105.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x00008f15F47FCF49ceb0c5e61d9389B4DC549bee
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0016004386b89c2c4f983459f7cdc6137d635657badf8292ed9ee440b1d76dfa
100.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:11:34 A.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0072ba1275072ed6aa714061938df8cc8b2c24b592b3a78e67fdbf036592
45.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:11:06 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00370041f426a7678816ccd0d575ad53f9b08ebe7ee5d93791d50d32324cadd9
13.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:11:06 A.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005b0075464fbfb1a3a3b54eaef4354bf12e97e719003737c2211877c7930b4b
15.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:11:06 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007800382583a83e319bd4139662498ee9f625c8502c5a3c7479b292ce627394