Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 5:09:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 5:10:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
12% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 176.73
Unexplained QUAI: 1,267.79
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
8.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
4
7.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
69
Asset volume
1,444.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1445 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 5:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
176.73 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
68.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
68.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
21.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
17.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate53 tx
1,444.51 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:09:02 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:07:50 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
176.73 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:10:14 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
598.95 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:06:38 A.M.
+2 min
29 tx
858.98 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:11:26 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
664.24 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:05:26 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
426.63 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:12:39 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:04:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
68.87 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:09:41 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
68.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:09:41 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0038001e77336aed201a1f86ad75cb7acccb8dc2b27f76dce606287ff290a396
68.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:09:41 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003c004a73e44af4c487a981c4d732d0bcca17613aa76c3ee8d02381a994262f
21.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:09:41 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f004106005698a887c2457e72254c571d3dbf190996b727555c8629f0252e
17.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 5:09:01 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0011003258700daeff472ab4ba1d78601504f76cf232953336829d833496d400