Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:58:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:59:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 457.75
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.8x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
56.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 56 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
253.98 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
161.26 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
104.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
Net receiver
Unknown type
102.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
76.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
56.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:58:15 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
70.34 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:57:03 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
518.31 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:59:28 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
140.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:55:51 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
162.64 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:54:40 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:00:40 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
94.59 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:01:51 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
145.27 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:53:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
104.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:58:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
42.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:58:48 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00090006a910f3ed1c70f8b5426776e37f354d7ca4eedb00c59a05d568fc4060
76.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:58:48 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0017001a899cc8a7e95f9aba87f3edd9879f85068beabc0314f2b7ec995f0c3f
104.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:58:48 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00240056caffea1c06d8dd831af88a3400989575b602f420db5575b882b9dc99
58.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:58:48 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x003F8EDB98b6353A2f9494302fD65BA08579005c
Tx: 0x00020048c7f6ddde5f6a58da1fe8c5e5a9bc12c355485a2d464a806aad9c74d2
72.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:58:18 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004e00514cbf9963da5d54dc0a02272eaeeb93248f6ab7e8cf987f4ffbcc3ec7
102.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:58:18 A.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x00226A5B71f2d6bCE1A9F962dB05107A8C1860d5
Tx: 0x00560040ca6e600ea426dce7772d8f155ce89eca16ce9849a03814b332cf97c5