Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:57:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
80% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 56.14
Unexplained QUAI: 14.2
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
70.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 70 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (20% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
51.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e315a4a1F6D35b2c67C4264489538A7d0d37f
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
70.34 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:57:03 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
140.12 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:55:51 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
56.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:58:15 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
162.64 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:54:40 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
518.31 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:59:28 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
145.27 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:53:28 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 5:00:40 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
132.39 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:52:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
51.14 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:57:17 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
51.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:57:17 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003f007b15a6dcb92ceb1ce16bf8f31e2cb13642baaf9524d49b8bbcf3198864
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:57:17 A.M.
From: 0x003e315a4a1F6D35b2c67C4264489538A7d0d37f
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001700666890cb50d7e626c372f83df4a48c96a1af1105e5a792a0297ed2e284