Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:48:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:48:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:49:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,031.95
Unexplained QUAI: 19,559.54
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
7.3x above local average
291x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
1
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
20,591.49 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 20591 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:48:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,031.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,031.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
130.26 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:47:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,591.49 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:48:42 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
70.69 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:46:18 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
229.96 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:49:53 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
41.84 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:45:07 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,240.11 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:51:05 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
202.52 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:43:55 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
132.39 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:52:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,031.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:48:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
1,031.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:48:07 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x006E014E8c3a26829D332FD4645DE5DC7911B34F
Tx: 0x005e0062a0a1cbd02a5abb7f27652ec7bc104bda329e49dbab458e31094537b8