Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:39:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 71,064.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.9x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
214.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 214 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 -> 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net sender
Unknown type
69,994.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
69,994.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
Net sender
Unknown type
43.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6 → 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
2 repeated flows • 1,000 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
214.05 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:39:08 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
113.27 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:37:57 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
71,064.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:40:20 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
5,776.59 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:36:45 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
70,019.2 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:35:33 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
19,718.16 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:41:32 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
225.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:42:44 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
61.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:34:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
69,994.39 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:39:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
69,994.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:39:36 A.M.
From: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0079000891471ec71126f49432bd2aa121ad3b802d2809ff9d7f98c50aeb4566
26.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002500345797072790753b23a706e5980e81095f793489dfb8def5bfa399760a
43.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x004d00341c162eeff81f1c4688af66396893b1476a01aff813229bb018c1c909
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x00360077b1d9e7c8980be1bd46d2d59641895ce797ef7282f3a49ad1fb038b65
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:39:28 A.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0038006130ee9374d909eb62f66cbf9bc325dc3facb4ae56d93af2e09e48f025