Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:36:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
14% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 814
Unexplained QUAI: 4,962.59
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
94x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
5,776.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 5777 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
814 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
36.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
27.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
70,019.2 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:35:33 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
5,776.59 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:36:45 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
61.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:34:22 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
113.27 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:37:57 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
6,167.48 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:33:10 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
214.05 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:39:08 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
250.18 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:31:59 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
71,064.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:40:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
750 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:36:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
36.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:36:41 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007600484fd28b392e2c84e54ed2656eee5dba1fbe4f4f71ba5e5fb171328ddd
27.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:36:00 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0045006a60a2edd012a540b9fe933d9cc4be70b6aa61cd8752ad6e1b2e827929
750 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:36:00 A.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00260052b73e09cd19885c90b39db342d97acdf90fe7848435f7a0fd84551f63