Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:16:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 231.95
Unexplained QUAI: 713.47
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
3.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
945.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9 • 0x007B18657b28737665Ad98F16D6f407F17529915.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 945 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9 • 0x007B18657b28737665Ad98F16D6f407F17529915.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9
Net sender
Unknown type
105.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007B18657b28737665Ad98F16D6f407F17529915
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
76.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
76.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F1925Ba06FD7791B56E2C3D1869Af98Fbc3E6
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
945.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:16:20 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:15:08 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
212.82 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:13:56 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
257.86 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:17:32 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
578.84 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:12:45 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
168.72 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:18:43 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:11:33 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
188.23 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:19:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
105.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:16:22 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9
To: 0x007B18657b28737665Ad98F16D6f407F17529915
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
76.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:16:22 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000600321b505032d5151dbecab51729a65d8bb56793778b978d3666180b63bb
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:16:22 A.M.
From: 0x004F1925Ba06FD7791B56E2C3D1869Af98Fbc3E6
To: 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Tx: 0x006100436c8d4ed1680e67594aba63259e3eb73207705e92ab34c386d8dd2289
105.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:16:22 A.M.
From: 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9
To: 0x007B18657b28737665Ad98F16D6f407F17529915
Tx: 0x001d004a83ffa1b36f2cbfb4ab4fb14dc2aad0a4a8772abfa16e2aac77c7997c