Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:15:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 945.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9 • 0x003c2ba92b3E0388fa59e5A3089fBF9F3bB16F4f.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9 • 0x003c2ba92b3E0388fa59e5A3089fBF9F3bB16F4f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9
Net sender
Unknown type
793 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003c2ba92b3E0388fa59e5A3089fBF9F3bB16F4f
Net receiver
Unknown type
793 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004F1925Ba06FD7791B56E2C3D1869Af98Fbc3E6
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Net receiver
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:15:08 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
212.82 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:13:56 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
945.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:16:20 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
578.84 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:12:45 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:11:33 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
257.86 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:17:32 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
168.72 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:18:43 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
262.52 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:10:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
793 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:15:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9
To: 0x003c2ba92b3E0388fa59e5A3089fBF9F3bB16F4f
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:15:41 A.M.
From: 0x004F1925Ba06FD7791B56E2C3D1869Af98Fbc3E6
To: 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Tx: 0x000f000c605e254c57e1e0f347c58afe2de02fde6949a4124aa9e33b8013cee6
31.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:15:33 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a0040109ddaa6f513b2737661d6c394360db284068b2688b79ebda544384d
33.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:15:33 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000400770cec694ec96f7ae30991de6cf281bc824ba7ea2bb8cd876be6341abf
37.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00450071defc7a572db120edf199b631df715e287036d42cd358a143e63c7109
793 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:15:15 A.M.
From: 0x0043C54444322A71Df54ae0851a8bEEDc5ff93f9
To: 0x003c2ba92b3E0388fa59e5A3089fBF9F3bB16F4f
Tx: 0x002b00456c7601b07d2468fe40ef40b12fb1e7a0ae9ce4c8a3535e87a432216d