Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:13:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:14:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
51% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 108.93
Unexplained QUAI: 103.89
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
2
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
212.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 213 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
79.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00363f70CeCB679024642FE39bf34e5335455337
Net sender
Unknown type
29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004D33224f9959d2a25bafe712b7CD87b1614d23
Net receiver
Unknown type
29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
578.84 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:12:45 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:11:33 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
212.82 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:13:56 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:15:08 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
262.52 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:10:21 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
945.42 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:16:20 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate47 tx
1,088.64 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:09:10 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
101.74 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:07:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
79.93 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:13:24 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
79.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:13:24 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003a00711ec674329338ae4376c641460988d3175a8c35b2dd0554d27d908920
29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:13:07 A.M.
From: 0x00363f70CeCB679024642FE39bf34e5335455337
To: 0x004D33224f9959d2a25bafe712b7CD87b1614d23
Tx: 0x005d005671c1524804792d8d262b175d33100409b4360615c929a9038da86e69