Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 4:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 4:02:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 4:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 776.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
7.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
776.17 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00005b7BacDd3A673EEfB26ABA15fa5919E670c8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 776 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00005b7BacDd3A673EEfB26ABA15fa5919E670c8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 4:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
446.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00005b7BacDd3A673EEfB26ABA15fa5919E670c8
Net receiver
Unknown type
446.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
256.46 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
104.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
65.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 446.53 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:01:58 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
101.49 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:00:47 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
776.17 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:03:10 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
366.41 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:59:36 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:04:22 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
77.05 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:58:19 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
87,567.21 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:05:34 A.M.
-5 min
5 tx
334.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:57:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
446.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00005b7BacDd3A673EEfB26ABA15fa5919E670c8
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
60.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:38 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000e0025e0149b472856fcf9c34563b95df99751337f4ec739cc50688e4880cf
104.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:20 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001e0043cfa0093bf8ac3d5d62633e2d005fb9877cab63cf5d1bef4530095241
41.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:20 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0054002dab9274b208289ac2c30d05f09200a6d5901c90eae3674a496017e205
31.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:20 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003d002de122fe6c0ad37f8369ead5c9de0bd16e1c7506a94a617d43d5486ae2
25.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:20 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0043001e9f1e2be6178f09ea749004caa316ed94b1244718d25deea4f1d004c1
65.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:20 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006200714d82e02888c332f9ef140f01f392c8a9a351c3a15e3693dc2bc8ccd4
446.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 4:02:20 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00005b7BacDd3A673EEfB26ABA15fa5919E670c8
Tx: 0x000300225d7c39392e609c0ebdc911fb41c0366ab140e01c442d062305d8358e