Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:58:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:59:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 397.15
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
77.05 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 • 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 77 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 • 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846.
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 -> 0x00478156E86e91421F333521cD1f19B2AFC58c21 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
Net sender
Unknown type
320.1 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00478156E86e91421F333521cD1f19B2AFC58c21
Net receiver
Unknown type
120.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
39.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
39.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9 → 0x00478156E86e91421F333521cD1f19B2AFC58c21
2 repeated flows • 120.1 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
77.05 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:58:19 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
334.6 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:57:08 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:55:56 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
366.41 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:59:36 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:54:45 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
101.49 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:00:47 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
266.03 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:53:34 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 4:01:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:58:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846
To: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
120 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:58:52 A.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x00478156E86e91421F333521cD1f19B2AFC58c21
Tx: 0x005e00616295a1b34dbcb95f4c826b1df1968d0fa76c20509f2433d514d59af5
0.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:58:52 A.M.
From: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
To: 0x00478156E86e91421F333521cD1f19B2AFC58c21
Tx: 0x0030005d9c8548912f614031ac95a3109da181a7bedf1c63b4abb6ea2014228c
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:58:19 A.M.
From: 0x002B7786CAdD53b9231A35aBAaa92439eEd1F846
To: 0x004e272a0608F1e721A7C363B5A68c2ab33f86F9
Tx: 0x00150046f508c5af209ecbbf29842ffd089aa49194b933365116e3d063f4239e
39.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:58:05 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x004a002daf67662f2c9d8e9980a9564774dc907617990480c052a3529103b044
37.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:58:05 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00400042d50510e796b276f230858b5547b379fd2090045072c58fac4591983f