Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:39:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 305.5
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
52.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 52 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
211.02 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
Net sender
Unknown type
116.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
71.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
69.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
69.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
52.45 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:39:13 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:38:01 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
305.5 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:40:24 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
5,292.03 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:36:50 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
25.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:35:38 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
115.78 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:41:36 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
75.14 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:42:48 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
133.33 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:34:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
116.26 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:57 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
22.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:57 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f00373803ea430095468269e2ea32475fcfcd27750b0bfd367f2806160559
116.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:57 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004100004b2f51f71e01e7566993f4cebdf975b8d2d3e408d4a104d90ee80e09
69.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:52 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0026004bc817b311184b9daa225def4010ca30664e69d3b963343bf82a5abf66
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:52 A.M.
From: 0x00470053f0D929F3B40bf278917Fd14BaDC90Cc8
To: 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Tx: 0x000a00454a5815ae209029f18b78322cf5637a071157ec9f4601ec4f6de6341c
71.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:39:29 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006800130912f7d78926f0079992782e841f48ab5e6945eb4d4200b8f3b51d13