Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:27:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
34% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 131.3
Unexplained QUAI: 253.77
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 79% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
385.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 385 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8 • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (66% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (34%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
103.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
103.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
27.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
27.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
385.07 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:27:11 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:26:00 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
205.34 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:28:27 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
2,529.5 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:24:48 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
2,218.93 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:23:36 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
161.74 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:29:39 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:30:50 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,558.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:22:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
103.32 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:27:24 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
27.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:27:54 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002d0027b407d6b7bda0752e4fdaa76052d5f293496af591726341f5bfa037a9
103.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:27:24 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000f0070cd3c430a34b5b485e487f0158807b4cdec073097aa2d2d7f51ad61bf