Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:17:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,478.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
3,075.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002c7a1bc5C6d6258B77A2B98398e3D417C29d63 • 0x0015Cb76210F3166b3fbBF3f9315DcADe79b587c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3076 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002c7a1bc5C6d6258B77A2B98398e3D417C29d63 • 0x0015Cb76210F3166b3fbBF3f9315DcADe79b587c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002c7a1bc5C6d6258B77A2B98398e3D417C29d63
Net sender
Unknown type
1,997 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015Cb76210F3166b3fbBF3f9315DcADe79b587c
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,997 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,211.56 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
Net sender
Unknown type
1,104.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Net sender
Unknown type
106.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,211.56 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
5,700.78 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:16:25 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
3,075.67 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:17:36 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
273.7 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:15:13 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,399.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:18:48 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate16 tx
7,925.3 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:14:01 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
193.64 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:20:00 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
6,740.37 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:12:49 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:21:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,997 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:17:05 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002c7a1bc5C6d6258B77A2B98398e3D417C29d63
To: 0x0015Cb76210F3166b3fbBF3f9315DcADe79b587c
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
104.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:17:57 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0032005d269a2c5d9f623aa69f0656aaee469c1336c222bba40543575e944ae6
83.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:17:57 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002500578616494bb06ada6544bcf50cca9ece3fd6072243aea2d3caadc51d38
106.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:17:57 A.M.
From: 0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640075a785424b6a4efc3308e847f07f99d82b88b4e4e5733a94ed15f5540b
1,104.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:17:57 A.M.
From: 0x007E7C47D061799012e5809C8DaeA4cE3d7Ab1FB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00650025e41364f71b1408f7812dd850b9570fa4e2c9c07fe93b76c512a48387
81.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:17:05 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0042004abab38291c4b5a27d10c4b35bb2babe6c1154c086e4de4bc6ca0579e0
1,997 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:17:05 A.M.
From: 0x002c7a1bc5C6d6258B77A2B98398e3D417C29d63
To: 0x0015Cb76210F3166b3fbBF3f9315DcADe79b587c
Tx: 0x000a0034e2500781c6b87e3114440497bf5bef5ac9bbd97035ef703b1163523d