Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:05:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
76% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,958.04
Unexplained QUAI: 926.51
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
3,884.56 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3885 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (24% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,877.63 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
Net sender
Unknown type
1,737.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
763.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Net receiver
Unknown type
485.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006fd3e001C66a083aB1276B0aE5E694bD07ad27
Net receiver
Unknown type
278.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,877.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate10 tx
8,282.19 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:04:25 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
3,884.56 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:05:36 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
2,859.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
+2 min
63 tx
4,251.6 QUAI • 80 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:06:48 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
142.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:02:01 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:08:00 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
4,507.91 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:00:49 A.M.
+4 min
57 tx
2,559.96 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:09:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,737.26 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
88.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:56 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00180001fc1ff9cbecd286e12f5590a772d9318b580acaddb0e7f25ae17c1453
278.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:56 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006fd3e001C66a083aB1276B0aE5E694bD07ad27
Tx: 0x005e0054600eaeddd1da301fe30db053fdf75abd57cf91646cf0ef78dd6fd61d
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Tx: 0x0001007a09f53c14c45aa0bb825b3cda4b27cb5f958d4a27568e27578ac8f7b9
78.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x005a0022e1cad4da8724b802cc5f9bb331310ca8a5f006f83aa332f74db2ae9c
33.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0006004c345d6bf536d79d50454a1ec6b85430d654170c3f7e565a1931e50af0
16.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001d00371eec1cb789038e8ea44482822d3a24ad20235708d591e53f4d678af7
485.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x002c00639bf04d8b33924f92d3b25d748353c0f8a29c1a40af0f605140a6c015
1,737.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
From: 0x006aE7bc9dA038C00076553aAB1Eb76C68272B18
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015000bd264e2f377032605438cb122afb935d73b309e0ce0030d9ec5082fbb
140.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:05:50 A.M.
From: 0x006a6A77c1441Ff0BcB6C602d48C9Eb71ae0D75d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051005d773758a965ac1215a97acb8cd682bb93a44a0415b2a74a4d87e8c8c6