Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 3:03:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,684.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
20x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
2,859.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2860 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,504.01 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Net sender
Unknown type
2,053.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net sender
Unknown type
1,133.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
Net sender
Unknown type
1,033.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006581238b420c6fdBEa550e9C108f5a7fD74f7c
Net sender
Unknown type
171.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
2,859.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
142.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:02:01 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
8,282.19 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:04:25 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
4,507.91 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:00:49 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
4,741.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:59:37 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
3,884.56 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:05:36 A.M.
+4 min
63 tx
4,251.6 QUAI • 80 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:06:48 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
2,875.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:58:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,053.1 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
39.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00740018f87342795b5154ccac9d775e41aa7525fa88e480ddfe8b5984346442
141.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006a6A77c1441Ff0BcB6C602d48C9Eb71ae0D75d
Tx: 0x00630000e7e870da2ed69484997a27f9a421ddcde3cf3cb1d5cb107578fad732
112.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
From: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0012003c3f44f6cb37ffdb29485bf68d5adfc0215140274fb58362b6faec6e90
2,053.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
From: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0018004df8e12e99958726b1827ff3ffbe1646482adb0d364442eab5d38f2c4f
1,033.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002100579f6c99d2466f3acbbc6b10686a3db1633d413e97e74315af9f570eef
1,133.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00500065934f47c5d258d3f5ed47f2089dc2c425aba03bbd29341f03230bf10a
171.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
From: 0x006581238b420c6fdBEa550e9C108f5a7fD74f7c
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00390072b31f57a0bf46950c21bb9fb0ca32798583b05539ce407ad3d22f136c