Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:59:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,394.56
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,741.44 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4741 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,321.37 QUAI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,029.31 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,345.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net sender
Unknown type
1,188.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,018.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,029.31 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
2,875.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:58:19 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
4,741.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:59:37 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
1,521.12 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:57:07 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
4,507.91 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:00:49 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
468.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:55:55 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
142.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:02:01 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate13 tx
27,394.11 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:54:43 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
2,859.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:03:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,345.13 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
43.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:57 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00210043416259d67b4a22116374199c91db116b4651a99bf03f75311c3178be
1,018.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x001e000f631c18caea967eb29f635e412ec13c70290828fb0b1cb2cee5baab80
1,188.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:57 A.M.
From: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450046c0385fe1202f3e6cc230299038833928a9549385a33b75415be5ec3d
583.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:57 A.M.
From: 0x0061625f72324047381d519e80cd4054FE1F2b8f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c002e0069ee751ef3a2201f12abaabc07e2a88abd5df1c4f0ddc7d2b2ed53
476.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:57 A.M.
From: 0x005A7d7BAbe2eFCc8111012670C3e041456c7319
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0058005962903c921954c5f560db19e5ba4c404ec5e4b8f39221f3fcdeba5ebf
780.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:57 A.M.
From: 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001d0044f541576fcee8f9253441521bd9228b6009baf3d7f71146f827a257d7
958.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:29 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x0013003c59f06832903a0a7cbd588e7366162d786bf4c4fb7950f4be637a303c
2,345.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x006c00631c9a21705a134a07cd8e399f5c47b5510865f2cb487e1cb7a8c48800