Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:58:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,438.17
Unexplained QUAI: 1,437.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 80% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.9x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
2,875.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2875 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,148.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,148.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
173.14 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
95.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
66.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
2,875.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:58:19 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
1,521.12 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:57:07 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
468.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:55:55 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
4,741.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:59:37 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate13 tx
27,394.11 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:54:43 A.M.
+3 min
9 tx
4,507.91 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:00:49 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
9,146.43 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:53:31 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
142.98 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 3:02:01 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,345.13 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikePersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
57.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006c0035ef5ba86397a722540f4fd5e1b711b8167314a79042802d169dd43525
95.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0069000cc4eee4a5607c3193af0f02919e5dc1b01c52df19f3d5b41cb3a9ff0f
66.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00640035c9cc68172bd201903158790f64a45f72040e71a3f6926314bddc1e6b
20.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0034007332b7c6fd3dbf083fc742bbb311fbca426cbbf3d9b552507a3cc23015
50.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x000f00578af23ad74fd4282ff7c0931944285dd7d9d14391659bedd1b1a25ddf
1,148.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:58:50 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x004d005d9cb7d9f501580fdb42a041ac861f2d9eae06e1760a6c6c2ea0620c8a