Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:56:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,521.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
1,521.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1521 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
781.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
781.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
219.95 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
200.41 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
146.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
468.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:55:55 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate13 tx
27,394.11 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:54:43 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
1,521.12 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:57:07 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
9,146.43 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:53:31 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
2,875.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:58:19 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
8,627.08 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:52:19 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
4,741.44 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:59:37 A.M.
-5 min
14 tx
20,319.08 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:51:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
781.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
57.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x006a00096aa8d6ee5634e22b622cb5fa436833545d3e122cc2f20f2b7bb56e28
113.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00070028f6e4ba6a508246de66b56aa7f2669057926a02085c331641f458a9d8
64.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000c00259ed97ebc4198dd5a6228437a483b1bb5d6fe4ddc33ff677e9950f64f
106.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006c0030cd7f5b497aa9d5cf6997a39e4dc4cd0aee776f08b8e153e6a9239c9d
29.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001f007f7fb75b09fde98b64294900c732e9fb1f490df00e5830e05b41884be4
107 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005c0002c39813f5dc8569d83b7102fe6e775d6b29cf7eeec964eec305fbf19d
146.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x007c000c5d9fa89cbd5aa27ddf74ea0e0be78b9f3cdb226b94ef4e4575a17169
781.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0056cD7C9cD80237e79aA4ca2723cA0E6312Bb9B
Tx: 0x00200049803f43f6c20ad84c339ba45173710d6d910c2fc5443d5ed68e1e7db2
116.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:56:55 A.M.
From: 0x007b3a2Db43408a12Cf86dD868dE832E4dbf7350
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x006f002b0ffc16ac2092da2ab3c93658a78c05a969f2417826b3389a90b080be