Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,146.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 32% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
9,146.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 9146 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,393.91 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
Net sender
Unknown type
2,969.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Net sender
Unknown type
2,080.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,494.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
1,101.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
8,627.08 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:52:19 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
9,146.43 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:53:31 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
20,319.08 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:51:07 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
27,394.11 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:54:43 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
2,062.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:49:55 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
468.12 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:55:55 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate23 tx
32,401.63 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:48:43 A.M.
+4 min
9 tx
1,521.12 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:57:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,969.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
68.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:26 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e004455de8a8dd6dbe3e5b2342c23fed909d07a193802bf3ce651debe1a94
1,101.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: StratumX miner
0x005A40d8292f96cbD0dBA404e5443a7D67F9A09f
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0057003d267389c9574486764ffc0acc0b0941062d346d056b3980749b2cb672
119.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003d0056091059f7463358ec02a1ad44a529b1f76e67c98e5ee73672bba28e19
17.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002500494ed8a17d0cd1fc01fb762a02814a9cd0e38875e8a0dae36a51212dd8
1,051.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x006600737a137937aea1fa844d056b9905f7c1c3ee68561e41c35a9a0117b18a
393.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00583aE733b95D86855b6C4b0aCC982d0433199A
Tx: 0x003f003fa2dac03cafd8332c1de6e8922a2e407cc60470036016e9381e3d9221
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x003e315a4a1F6D35b2c67C4264489538A7d0d37f
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002d0035d1ba705239a398df098cc9219cce5f6ae819587893f94febf4c4ecdf
2,969.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x0041C4936720D07A076B902317FB4ac07dd9f5D5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00090035badfb8797ced1f071851e83f05e5210e87769e7a98b00468db29faa2
147.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x006953D1Ab02af55cF5851BB0f593837a98EFaA8
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0073004e041d26ecb7c808a1b586b8c166c1bb48a7aebc0f6d6efbdd2c4c9383
2,080.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0021007e0af9a225f2105bf666cb457c1799e0ab780835cfbe0c6812bf0c9b11
211.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x007660347A0fC5A9E1bd5f7ec58D4B6344eEcE5b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007b0061dc7ae61d4242458242f4eabc47bfeb20469262c63e55e8fd020a2c00
984.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:53:09 A.M.
From: 0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0019007845496c6807b77b37b1475e581e1d0f23222b04e80dc12c264dbb1684