Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:51:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
42% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,627.08
Unexplained QUAI: 11,692
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
9.9x previous minute
2.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
4
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
20,319.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 20319 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (58% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (42%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
8,409.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,409.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
108.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Net receiver
Unknown type
108.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
76.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
20,319.08 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:51:07 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
2,062.83 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:49:55 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
8,627.08 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:52:19 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate23 tx
32,401.63 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:48:43 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
9,146.43 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:53:31 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
9,325.56 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:47:29 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
27,394.11 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:54:43 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
10,893.06 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:46:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,409.95 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:51:34 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
32.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:51:34 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x000400212de2f01fb83ae816a3cbe969df28c73d67c037d7fa9de0961fb13c71
76.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:51:34 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006e0063922058b1dc09d7d096211aa3915d367d129007c61fd3faa03f8584e3
108.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:51:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007bE63B8A9EdF68F26aEe2E782c910Bbce2163F
Tx: 0x002c005882925d6f8d4f1495f146e79fc58825f5cefaa99d3dbf18b24b39f72a
8,409.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:51:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
Tx: 0x006c0052d601bd062f2a813d8eec9e67a7c789673e31dc80620ddf7e5ba94a53