Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:44:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,170.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
7,170.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7170 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,257.18 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,215.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,913.29 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,494.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,419.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
18 tx
9,199.89 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:43:53 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate19 tx
40,207.22 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:42:40 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
7,170.47 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:45:05 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
10,893.06 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:46:17 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
11,316.56 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:41:28 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
9,325.56 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:47:29 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
8,513.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:16 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
13,801.15 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:39:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,215.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:44:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1,494.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:44:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x00560074c643a034bb70e71d3b3a1ecc1f16187ce17088760f00ed7d48fa3f41
3,215.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:44:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004df88EEb4d10955204645271e8dD7fD3A15BdC
Tx: 0x006a007814b650656486a8ed095416207b13a398909a510a17b3879a39401444
1,042.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:44:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004Db113f1738A100c99b14aB14e0C1fBbb979B7
Tx: 0x00750040cba5d5f8cde83edba647e15dfb9ac98ca6e1e8d6a155cb9a86a73cd1
1,419.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:44:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Tx: 0x0052002b7bb8f30628c286d912f3ca41d787e3ed08cac552d748bc4076239a7e
