Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
68% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,288.31
Unexplained QUAI: 2,911.59
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
13
72.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
9,199.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 9200 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,445.07 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,317.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,902.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,461.7 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,011.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate19 tx
40,207.22 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:42:40 A.M.
+1 min
18 tx
9,199.89 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:43:53 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
11,316.56 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:41:28 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
7,170.47 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:45:05 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
8,513.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:16 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
10,893.06 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:46:17 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
13,801.15 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:39:04 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
9,325.56 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:47:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,902.24 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
1,011.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x0052002ad414b2ab61776e1ac56998739cbfc839500b09fcb726197ca2ff2952
132.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004d6A8315C2D567fe944979a836F363a159A547
Tx: 0x00490039352d4388613c1b1ea00900f1104cd245a896ce956762c5f7b723cc17
28.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:30 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0026004ec8e0961ccbea991ed6a638bb901e3abcbabc8ed0508e56fb6ce479dc
34.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:30 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0035006055e39f4b0cc5a24d8bdc7cffa3ce37fb666bd53c9b1de3baac15f75c
104.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006c85a14751e2e2f61387E61F02F87A0a76B892
Tx: 0x001b00085cb8edfb769b6312b0b185e5de9375be9c6339d9711cc55a5530ddd6
283.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004cB648F9D61a71b427d3BebCc7AA6Fcb1A276E
Tx: 0x0029000d9417b2fed5e3e7b54d863655926fb2d0133f5d03586acf04d12a67c2
186.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:30 A.M.
From: 0x0055BEA689FD0d99a5f69b06E8a14907ED2350A1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005d00263d0aad3ebecbc0f97dea7842f5b5c290416d66ca92279e1fe3581d54
529.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:30 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004a003d2fa0184d434872f0bd885c8d98e244072ce4de7fdf77118bcbb93e45
102.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:30 A.M.
From: 0x004C0D38C139F1AaaE50fC4dde6318FD10a9b562
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b004a05abdcb315433b5d0127d1130c88b8a417f679c755d625180e41d35c
346.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
Tx: 0x003c0007e76c622123175035d88423fc5622a2aec7398981ac5bd0d0fbf11090
1,902.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Tx: 0x005a003a1c826349246d6d8a88642942213678033174973504acf19123ab8d6b
710.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
From: 0x0028379b254697F901EDeFc2E5f4bE459a47Bdcb
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00790030c3b1332a2c4926b80688bd93d405e5d329c49e8ba01512ec7a6a93f6
917.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:43:00 A.M.
From: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003900412e6c6d70ce56771110bc5bc82f6f86dbb2050eedc9af24894c383a4f
