Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
70% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,930.47
Unexplained QUAI: 2,583.17
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
8,513.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E • 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 8514 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E • 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (30% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
Net sender
Unknown type
3,333 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,333 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,199.58 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004aCcaFF462d9AEE1Cf5336b821979E6005DF34
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,164.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,034.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
8,513.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:16 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
13,801.15 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:39:04 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
11,316.56 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:41:28 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
9,141.08 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:37:52 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate42 tx
62,640.9 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:36:38 A.M.
+3 min
19 tx
40,207.22 QUAI • 43 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:42:40 A.M.
+4 min
18 tx
9,199.89 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:43:53 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:35:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,333 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
58.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:54 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005b001c75a4bcbbe7bdbe86f830f089ea736b4dc8c29073ae504f17f7178f60
1,034.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
Tx: 0x000c000a2c1ec71ab113809689f3f652bde1368f2704167df5eb978c5489f471
173.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006581238b420c6fdBEa550e9C108f5a7fD74f7c
Tx: 0x002f00526aaff2f51fd77bba6dcda58ff9bd439cdea241c35c4effb50ab2e42d
3,333 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
From: 0x0077aB9c0169E6B1620FaD80F4A2a70ed1E26A5E
To: 0x00366c6e76338cA418211Ee979A3C839BAbc5bFf
Tx: 0x0033007458d10b76c82d92a70be75e6305462ed6674c55d72580218975ffa6c7
41.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005c002f1e75e335406f8c78654f3f8a5ba90b4b010bbf95aa4871e468003219
124.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0065333eaa9799D9Cf52Afa1c1cC3B76a23626d2
Tx: 0x00420041cc34e22de925012f1f5cb465614586141c91738129e11a9caaaeee62
1,164.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:40:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004aCcaFF462d9AEE1Cf5336b821979E6005DF34
Tx: 0x0063004d342ee811b42e548bda79536094f45ba781c1b56bae4c5ad873f98bfe